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Fitch revises outlook for Vietnam to positive

access_time May 19,2017 chat_bubble_outline 25 views

Fitch Ratings has revised its outlook on Viet Nam’s long-term foreign and local currency issuer default ratings (IDR) to Positive from Stable and affirmed the ratings at "BB-."

Fitch revises outlook for Vietnam to positive

Containers loaded at Sai Gon Port. Fitch has revised outlook for Viet Nam to positive from stable. 

This was stated by the credit rating agency in as press release published on its website on Thursday.

The credit rating agency said Viet Nam’s ratings reflected strong growth performance and prospects, persistent current account surpluses, manageable debt service costs and sustained foreign direct investment inflow. However, the ratings also reflected a high public debt ratio, low foreign-exchange reserve buffers, macro-prudential and banking sector risks and some structural indicators being weaker than those of peers, including per capita income and human development standards.

The policy-making focused on macroeconomic stability had supported strong levels of foreign direct investment (FDI) and helped maintain robust economic growth, Fitch said.

It cited statistics showing that Viet Nam’s real GDP expanded at 6.2 per cent in 2016, supported by the country’s export-oriented manufacturing sector and steady expansion in services, despite weakness in the mining and quarrying sectors from ongoing oil and gas industry downturn.

Fitch forecast that real GDP growth would improve gradually to 6.3 per cent in 2017 and 6.4 per cent in 2018, fuelled by continued FDI inflow into the manufacturing sector and strong private consumption expenditure.

Viet Nam’s foreign-exchange reserves also continued to improve to reach $37 billion by the end of 2016, from $28.5 billion in 2015.

Government debt continued to rise. Based on preliminary estimate of authorities, government debt to GDP rose from 50.1 per cent at the end of 2015 to 53.4 per cent at the end of 2016. If explicit government guarantees were included, overall public debt reached 63.7 per cent, just short of the official 65 per cent debt ceiling.

Fitch expected that Viet Nam would avoid breaching the debt ceiling as the Government reaffirmed its commitment to remain within the ceiling through fiscal measures and limits on guarantee issuance. Fiscal deficit was expected to remain close to 5.7 per cent of GDP in 2017-18.

Although Fitch’s banking sector outlook for Viet Nam is stable, some challenges remain. The agency believes the large stock of non-performing loans (NPLs) is likely to take time to resolve due to legal impediments and the 2.5 per cent reported system NPL ratio at the end of 2016 understates actual asset quality issues.

“While improving economic performance is likely to support lower NPL formation, a rapid and sustained increase in credit growth poses a risk to financial stability in the medium term,” Fitch said in the press release.

Overall credit growth at the end of 2016 was some 18 per cent and the official credit growth target for this year has been capped at 18 per cent.

Moody’s Investors Service late last month also affirmed the Government of Viet Nam’s B1 issuer and senior unsecured debt ratings and revised the outlook to positive from stable. 


88 million tons a year: Auditors decry EU food waste

BRUSSELS (AP) — The sheer waste of food had been bothering teacher Marijke De Jongh for so long that two years ago she set up a pop-up restaurant to serve perfectly good groceries and meat that were approaching their expiry date.With her Rekub team, she followed it up with an app that brings thousands of consumers to retail shops were they can buy food closing in on its sell-by date.Still, the efforts of a small group of conscientious consumers are no match for the masses that still waste food… chat_bubble_outline Read More...

Russia rejects UN plea for longer Aleppo ceasefires

Moscow (AFP) - Russia's defence ministry on Thursday dismissed as "counterproductive" a request from the United Nations to extend future pauses in fighting to allow aid into rebel-held eastern Aleppo as winter comes.The ministry said it received a request from the head of a UN-backed humanitarian taskforce for Syria, Jan Egeland, to make future breaks in fighting longer to allow in aid supplies.But Russia in a statement quoting spokesman Igor Konashenkov said it was "counterproductive and… chat_bubble_outline Read More...

Vietnam’s banking sector looks stable for 2017 despite gloomy Southeast Asia outlook: Fitch

A woman rides a bicycle past the building of the State Bank of Vietnam in Hanoi. Photo by Reuters/Kham Vietnam’s banking sector is likely to have a bright and stable 2017 while most Southeast Asian economies will face lower demand for loans and further pressure on asset quality, according to Fitch Ratings. A statement released by the ratings agency described the outlook for the banking sector in Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand as “negative”, forecasting brighter prospects only in… chat_bubble_outline Read More...

Vietnam's top taxi firm Vinasun forecasts profit drop amid rivalry with Grab, Uber

An undated photo of a Vinasun taxi picking a passenger in Ho Chi Minh City. Photo: Dinh Quan/Thanh Nien Vinasun, the biggest taxi company in Vietnam, expects its net profit to fall 20 percent to VND264 billion (US$11.68 million) this year, citing high costs and harsh competition with ride-hailing services Grab and Uber, local media reported on Friday. The company saw a 5 percent profit increase last year, compare to 40 percent in 2014. Its profit in the first quarter this year was more than… chat_bubble_outline Read More...

Watch: The 45th President of the United States Gives His First Salute

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